BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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West Des Moines Dowling

Class: 4A Class Rank: 17 Conference: (11-10) Overall: (12-10) Overall Strength =   87.11

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/28/2006 Away    W *  83.80  58   46   4A   44 ( 4-17) Mason City             -3.30     15.30                      
  2 12/01/2006 Home    L *  75.27  47   52   4A   25 (10-11) Fort Dodge            -11.84      6.84                      
  3 12/05/2006 Away    W *  87.96  55   54   4A   20 (16- 8) Des Moines Lincoln      0.85      0.15                      
  4 12/08/2006 Home    W *  91.41  50   43   4A   18 (11-12) Southeast Polk          4.30      2.70                      
  5 12/12/2006 Home    W *  84.20  66   59   4A   33 ( 8-15) Des Moines East        -2.91      9.91                      
  6 12/15/2006 Home    L *  83.55  35   43   4A    4 (19- 7) Urbandale              -3.56     -4.44                      
  7 12/16/2006 Home    L *  73.13  60   77   4A    5 (16- 8) Ankeny                -13.98     -3.02                      
  8 01/05/2007 Away    L *  85.35  39   45   4A    8 (16- 7) Johnston               -1.76     -4.24                      
  9 01/12/2007 Away    L *  85.36  46   54   4A    6 (16- 7) Indianola              -1.75     -6.25                      
 10 01/16/2007 Home    W *  97.27  53   43   4A   15 (16- 6) Ames                   10.16     -0.16                      
 11 01/19/2007 Away    W * 110.41  47   32   4A    4 (19- 7) Urbandale              23.30     -8.30                      
 12 01/23/2007 Away    L *  84.09  43   45   4A   22 ( 9-13) Des Moines Roosevelt   -3.02      1.02                      
 13 01/26/2007 Away    L *  86.98  45   52   4A    5 (16- 8) Ankeny                 -0.12     -6.88                      
 14 01/30/2007 Home    W *  79.40  38   35   4A   34 (10-13) Ottumwa                -7.71     10.71                      
 15 02/02/2007 Home    W *  96.49  52   43   4A    8 (16- 7) Johnston                9.38     -0.38                      
 16 02/06/2007 Away    W *  99.08  61   53   4A   12 (13-10) WDM Valley             11.97     -3.97                      
 17 02/09/2007 Home    W *  93.51  76   72   4A    6 (16- 7) Indianola               6.40     -2.40                      
 18 02/13/2007 Away    W *  94.66  59   48   4A   27 ( 9-14) Waukee                  7.55      3.45                      
 19 02/16/2007 Away    L *  84.26  43   47   4A   18 (11-12) Southeast Polk         -2.84     -1.16                      
 20 02/17/2007 Home    W    77.72  41   37   4A   38 ( 8-13) CB Lincoln             -9.39     13.39                      
 21 02/20/2007 Away    L *  81.25  40   44   4A   24 (11-10) Des Moines Hoover      -5.86      1.86                      
 22 02/27/2007 Home    L *  81.23  53   54   4A   22 ( 9-13) Des Moines Roosevelt   -5.87      4.87                      
      Averages              87.11  50.3 49.0

Best game:  110.41 = 15 point win over Urbandale
Worst game:  73.13 = 17 point loss to Ankeny
Team stdev:   8.73